Wednesday, March 12, 2008
What's happening here is inescapable: Sen. Hillary Clinton is holding her ground in a head-to-head match-up against the presumptive Republican nominee Sen. John McCain, while Sen. Barack Obama has been slipping precipitously. A new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll released Wednesday shows both Clinton and Obama at 47% against McCain's 45% and 44% respectively. For Obama, this is down from the appreciable 11-point lead he held on February 28th. And it should cause concern among all the Obama supporters who've been touting his electibility and inevitability. I'm sorry, but the latest trends are showing the momentum turning in Clinton's favor.
Are Democrats beginning to view her as the more electible of the two candidates? She's shown that she's a fighter, which is going to be a critical qualification for going against McCain and the Republican attack machine in the general election. To the contrary, Obama has appeared soft. His inability and/or unwillingness to get tough can be viewed among some voters as a sign of weakness; weakness that would be swallowed up by the GOP in a head-to-head against McCain. And as I've been writing about for a couple of weeks now, race is starting to play a major role in this campaign. Twenty percent of Dems surveyed say they'll defect to McCain if Obama's the nominee. Not a pretty stat, but a realistic one nonetheless. Let's face it, America can be a pretty ugly place wrought with racial intolerance.