Thursday, October 05, 2006
Two New Polls Show NJ's Menendez With Significant Lead Over Tom Kean Jr. This is Very Bad News for Republicans
The news just keep getting worse for Republicans. On the heels of the scorching Foley sex scandal comes two new polls released Thursday morning indicating that the GOP's troubles extend beyond the House and into the Senate as the critical midterm elections are just a month away.
Over in New Jersey, where Republicans have been praying that they'll pick up the current Democratic seat from Sen. Bob Menendez, the news is getting bleaker every day. The GOP, concerned that Democratic wins in key battleground states Missouri, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Montana, Rhode Island, Tennessee and possibly Virginia (Dems are ahead or tied in all races) could give them the six seats they need to gain control, are hoping the NJ seat would be the spoiler which keeps the Senate in Republican hands.
But just days after it was discovered that the latest addition to Kean Jr.'s research team is a convicted felon, the new polls show Menendez pulling away handily. The Fairleigh Dickinson-Public Mind poll gives Menendez a seven point lead, an 11-point upswing for Menendez since August. The new Reuters/Zogby poll shows Menendez leading by ten points. It would appear that Kean Jr, whose campaign's been fueled by aggressive smear tactics against Menendez, is rapidly running out of steam.
"Tom Kean Jr.'s efforts to use mud to cover up the fact that he and George Bush are ideological soul-mates on Iraq, Social Security, stem cell research and so many other issues are not working," Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) spokesman Phil Singer said. "It's time for Tom Kean Jr. to stop the smears and start coming clean about how he thinks George Bush is doing a heckuva of a job."
As the elections near, the Kean campaign has been working with convicted felon Robert Janiszewski, who is currently serving time in federal prison on corruption charges. More troubling for the campaign is that Kean Jr., like most Republicans seeking election or re-election, is quickly sliding off of Bush's diseased coattails. The Fairleigh Dickinson survey showed the president with an abysmal 34% job approval rating in the state.
As the Foley scandal continues to unravel, and with Iraq, Afghanistan, the recent NIE and Bob Woodward's new book creative havoc in the GOP, both the House and Senate are getting more within reach of Democrats than ever.